Opinion
Hear our experts’ take on the latest developments and trending topics
Short-term rental accommodation, or holiday homes, have been a hot topic of discussion over the past couple of weeks, first because of Emaar Properties’ entry into the space with its short-term rentals platform Ease by Emaar, followed by the developer banning such stays in its Downtown Dubai community with effect from September 19.
Apart from the fact that the move comes towards the end of summer when operators are gearing up for a high-traffic season, there was little time between the announcement and the deadline for implementation. To top it off, the Department of Tourism and Commerce Marketing, which regulated this market in 2014, has not yet issued any official clarification on the matter, further adding to the suspense as owners, service providers and customers wait on.
The rise of the sharing economy
The question here is, at a time when the sharing economy is taking off with services like co-living, co-working and ride-sharing changing the way of life, can Dubai have one of its most-popular communities close its doors to holiday homes? These services are at the heart of the digital revolution, a cause that Dubai seeks to champion as it strives to become the smartest city in the world. Also, as millennials and Gen Z make up a higher proportion of consumers, it is increasingly important to cater to their preferences of lower prices, convenience and flexibility – key features of a sharing economy.
Not just for tourists
Apart from tourists, who are attracted to the prospect of having a wider array of accommodation options to choose from, regional and global corporates who bring their executives on a short or long-term basis to business hubs like Dubai are another important target group for short-term rental providers. The upcoming Expo 2020 will likely further attract business visitors to the emirate translating to a spike in demand for temporary, if not permanent, housing. Add to this, the government’s target of 20 million visitors to Dubai by 2020, and the potential for expansion in the market becomes even clearer.
Maximising revenues
In a market which has struggled with low rents and prices for months now, landlords are naturally looking for ways to optimise the income-generation ability of assets. Short-term rentals thus prove to be a lucrative option for landlords as they serve as the interim solution for residents until they transition to a long-term rental scenario. Clients of Cavendish Maxwell too are exploring converting residential buildings, either entirely or partially, into holiday homes to benefit from higher yields offered by this segment of the market.
Poised for growth
The numbers also point to the direction of growth. According to figures from short-term rental data provider AirDNA, between June 2018 and June 2019, active home listings in Dubai grew 69.5%, compared to a 7% growth in hotel rooms during the same period.
With Airbnb launching an Arabic website, and investment firms such as IBC Group recently announcing plans to furnish and manage 10,000 premier holiday homes in Dubai, operators and investors alike are betting big on the space.
Following through with the ban can, therefore, potentially cause hiccups in the pace of growth of the segment, hurting the sentiment of a sector that has been under some pressure. It now remains to be seen what the authorities in Dubai decide regarding the fate of one of the emirate’s most promising growth segments in real estate, but operators and investors remain optimistic.
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Julian Roche
MA (Oxon), MPhil, PhD
Chief Economist
Julian joined Cavendish Maxwell as Chief Economist in January 2019. Coming from an old real estate family in Ireland, his career as an economist began with a first-class honours degree in philosophy, politics and economics at the age of 19, following which Julian was an analyst with the UK Government. He later helped develop and launch the UK’s residential forecasting service with the firms that merged to become Global Insight. Julian subsequently developed derivatives in the City of London and established real estate futures contracts for what is now the International Commodity Exchange. He also ran a property development and management firm, before eventually serving as an international consultant and trainer to governments, central banks and notable firms including AXA, Citibank, DBS, Deloitte and Thomson Reuters.
Julian fills his work-free time with academic pursuits; he holds several postgraduate degrees, including a PhD in International Risk Management Policy, and also the Licensed Conveyancer qualification. Julian has published many business and academic texts and articles, and is also a keen walker – especially fond of the Scottish Highlands.