Development Land

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20 February 2026

Learning From History: Gulf Property Market Cycles – Catalysts And Consequences

Everyone knows that housing and commercial property prices move in cycles. The pattern of a long-sustained build-up in asset prices followed by a sudden decline has been observed in Organisation for Economic Co-operation and Development (OECD) countries for decades. It is also known that real estate returns are generally more stable in the years between peaks and troughs. Not all cycles, however, are equally severe, nor are markets equally volatile. For example, comparing what has happened in Dubai since 2021 with UK average prices clearly indicates how much more volatile this Gulf market has been. And, of course, Dubai has seen much more impressive house price growth in recent years: when both markets are indexed to January 2008 = 100, UK prices stand at 158.3 while Dubai reaches 233.7.
21 January 2026

Assessing the Role of Saudi Arabia’s Public Private Partnership (PPP) Programme in Real Estate

An immense commitment to Public Private Partnership (PPP) There is no doubt that Saudi Arabia is now home to one of the world’s largest and most successful Public Private Partnership (PPP) programmes. From early water and cogeneration projects (where gas-fired plants simultaneously produce electricity while capturing waste heat for industrial steam) launched in 2003, followed by electricity projects and the […]
12 January 2026

Dubai Retail and Warehouse Market Performance Q3 2025

Dubai’s retail and warehouse markets delivered a strong performance in Q3 2025, supported by resilient demand, constrained supply, and improving investor confidence. Retail sales activity accelerated sharply during the quarter, with transaction volumes rising quarter on quarter and total deal value surpassing the AED 1 billion mark for the first time in a single quarter, driven primarily by robust off-plan activity.
16 December 2025

Crisis as Catalyst: Innovation in the Shadow of Real Estate Cycles

Evidence for a hypothesis The idea that creativity flourishes in a crisis has some solid empirical support. The steam turbine, transformer, radio, and helicopters were all patented during Depressions and were turned into successful products during subsequent recovery periods. Various explanations of this phenomenon have been advanced, the most well-known of which has been Joseph Schumpeter’s theory of ‘creative destruction’, […]
5 December 2025

Dubai Office Market Performance Q3 2025

Dubai's office market delivered a strong performance in Q3 2025, supported by robust economic fundamentals and ongoing business formation activities. Dubai Chamber of Commerce welcomed approximately 53,000 new member companies in the first nine months of 2025, up 4% year-on-year, and attracted 261 foreign companies, a 65.2% increase over the same period in 2024. This surge in business activity fuelled heightened demand for office space, with sales transactions reaching approximately 1,200, up 39.9% year-on-year, and transaction values climbing to AED 3.1 billion, reflecting 87.6% annual growth. The off-plan segment was the primary driver, with volumes rising 463.8% year-on-year.
21 August 2025

Abu Dhabi Residential Market Performance H1 2025

Abu Dhabi’s economy demonstrated strong momentum in H1’2025, driven by robust non-oil trade, foreign investment, and high business confidence. Non-oil foreign trade rose 34.7% to AED 195.4 billion. Business sentiment remained positive, with Abu Dhabi Chamber membership exceeding 158,000 companies and foreign net investment on the Abu Dhabi Securities Exchange (ADX) nearly doubling to AED 13.6 billion. The aviation sector supported this growth, handling over 15.8 million passengers, aided by expanded international connectivity. Strategic infrastructure projects, ongoing diversification, and investor-friendly policies strengthened economic activity and attracted skilled talent, providing a solid foundation for the residential market.
4 August 2025

Dubai Residential Market Performance H1 2025

According to the latest statistics from the Dubai Land Department (DLD), Dubai attracted approximately 94,700 investors in the first half of 2025, marking a significant 26% increase compared to the same period last year. Of these, around 59,000 were new investors, representing a 22% rise year-on-year. Notably, UAE residents accounted for 45% of these new investors, highlighting strong local participation in the market.
31 July 2025

How Does Geopolitics Affect Real Estate Markets?

The days when Francis Fukuyama could plausibly argue that the world had reached ‘The End of History’ seem a very long time ago now.[1] The cozy consensus that he envisaged, and which for a time seemed an accurate forecast of the 21st Century, has now been replaced by fissures between nations. Territorial and ethnic disputes have escalated into war, as in Ukraine; profound disagreements over state legitimacy and coexistence have spiralled into open conflict as seen most recently in the ‘Twelve Day War’ between Israel and Iran; and even trade and tariffs have divided nations – witness the disputes between the United States and China. Only the threat of nationalisation can be said to have declined almost uniformly around the globe; the experience of Venezuela in that regard has served as a cautionary tale to Governments everywhere.[2]
22 July 2025

Economic Impact Assessments: At the Crossroads of Economics and Real Estate Development

Governments worldwide, including now in the Gulf, want to know what economic benefits they will receive from alternative policy settings as well as from developments beyond their control. Policy examples include changing visa or competition regulations, or creating free trade or enterprise zones.[1] Other developments that Governments may want to analyse include the impact of particular domestic industries,[2] wildfires[3] or travel restrictions[4] on the economy as a whole. At a project level, cities and public agencies want similar information when they make specific decisions, for example analysing the economic benefits of Expo 2020 in the UAE,[5] deciding on transportation projects in Hong Kong,[6] analysing Saudi smart cities,[7] and authorising real estate developments.[8]
25 June 2025

Tokenisation of Real Estate: Past Dreams, Present Achievements and a Measured Outlook for the Future

A long history The need for tradeable, liquid real estate assets has long been widely recognised. There have been a range of attempted solutions to the problem. Probably the most well-known attempt was the securitisation market. From tentative origins in medieval Europe, securitised real estate – and especially mortgages – rose to become instrumental in the Global Financial Crisis when […]
27 May 2025

Dubai Residential Market Performance Q1 2025

The UAE’s GDP is forecasted to grow by 4.7% in 2025, while Dubai is expected to see a 3.3% increase. This sustained economic expansion, supported by population growth and continued investor confidence, reinforces the UAE's and Dubai’s positions as competitive global hubs. In the real estate sector, Dubai’s residential market recorded over 42,000 sales transactions in Q1 2025, reflecting a 10.0% quarterly decline due to a slowdown in new project launches and seasonal factors. However, year-on-year performance remained strong, with transaction volumes rising by 23.1% and total sales value reaching AED 114.4 billion, a 29.6% increase. Apartment sales led the market, while demand for villas and townhouses also grew, reflecting end-users’ preference for larger living spaces.
19 May 2025

Oman Real Estate Market Performance 2024 and Future Outlook

Oman’s economy showed steady growth in 2024, with GDP rising by 1.0%, from OMR 40.7 billion in 2023 to OMR 41.1 billion. Non-oil sectors grew by 4.1%, reflecting significant progress in the country’s diversification efforts. Looking ahead, GDP is projected to reach OMR 42.6 billion in 2025, with a long-term target of OMR 80.2 billion by 2040, representing a compound annual growth rate (CAGR) of 4.3%. The Sultanate also aims for non-oil sectors to account for 90% of the economy by 2040, marking a shift toward a more sustainable and diversified economic model.

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